Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gomes | 37 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Robinson | 35 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Byrne | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Tandy | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Catchings | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Sinclair | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Parrish | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Wilkin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 40 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. Peterson | 31 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Gulina | 31 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Merritt | 29 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. West | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Black | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter