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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 81.5% 18.5% -
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Log Adjusted 93.1% 6.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 40 4-11 3-6 0-1 3 3 0 0 4 11 2 -
A. Tucker * 37 8-17 0-3 6-7 4 2 0 0 4 22 7 -
R. Nixon * 28 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Chappell * 25 1-3 0-2 2-3 4 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
B. Butch * 20 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
M. Flowers 20 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 6 7 -
K. Gullikson 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
J. Krabbenhoft 11 3-6 0-1 3-5 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dillon * 38 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 3 2 0 3 8 12 -
S. Heber * 36 6-16 2-4 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 16 8 -
C. Lutz * 35 4-8 2-3 2-3 6 6 0 0 3 12 13 -
C. Hartley * 30 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. White * 24 7-12 0-0 4-7 6 2 4 0 2 18 16 -
M. Green 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
G. Ware 12 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
M. Carroll 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Riddell 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter