Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fitzgerald | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Templeton | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Fells | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| P. Sanders | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| N. Campbell | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 17 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Price | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kelley | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Metelski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heard | 36 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| R. Haynes | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 22 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Smith | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Washington | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Efevberha | 15 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Powers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter