Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heard | 36 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| R. Haynes | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 22 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Smith | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Washington | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Efevberha | 15 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Powers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter