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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 17.9% 82.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% -
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +27 (83-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Moore * 35 5-9 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 10 2 -
T. Schnitker * 29 2-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
D. Moss * 28 4-12 1-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 9 2 -
J. Tunnell * 26 2-10 0-1 1-3 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 -
T. Wurtz * 12 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
A. Arnold 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
J. Wise 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
E. Gray 14 3-4 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
E. Booe 9 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
D. Evans 7 1-2 0-0 0-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Trudeau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen * 33 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 7 0 0 1 8 11 -
J. Little * 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
B. Jacobson * 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 8 9 -
G. Stout * 21 8-10 0-1 1-1 13 2 1 6 3 17 26 -
E. Coleman * 20 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 0 4 9 8 -
T. Brown 25 6-7 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 16 12 -
J. Josten 19 3-6 1-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
A. Santos 8 1-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 1 3 4 4 -
T. Griffin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Viet 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Howard 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter