Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +15 (63-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Blackwood | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Jefferson | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Mojica | 33 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. Carey | 32 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Hickenbottom | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| H. Nelson | 14 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Sobers | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| I. Beaudet | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Middleton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Winters | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kenny | 31 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Azzarelli | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Delic | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Alston | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Wilson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Hallett | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| W. Coleman | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Bunch | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Shipman | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Nunner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Bazaz | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter