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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 8.9% 91.1% -
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +19.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley * 28 3-8 1-6 1-3 1 4 5 0 2 8 8 -
S. Denison * 27 5-8 0-0 2-5 7 1 1 2 3 12 12 -
M. Henke * 26 2-7 1-1 12-16 6 4 1 0 2 17 19 -
J. Kaempf * 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bryant * 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
T. Niesen 29 5-10 0-0 4-9 8 1 0 0 2 14 11 -
B. Rohe 27 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
C. Johnson 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -4 -
C. Sammet 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Daniel 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Burke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
O. Mbanugo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Parham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Batista * 31 8-11 0-0 5-6 7 4 1 1 4 21 19 -
A. Morrison * 27 7-18 4-7 6-8 3 1 1 0 1 24 10 -
S. Mallon * 27 4-6 1-2 6-7 4 1 0 0 0 15 14 -
D. Raivio * 26 2-6 2-5 2-2 3 3 4 0 1 8 11 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 2 -
J. Pargo 20 1-5 0-1 0-2 3 4 2 0 0 2 6 -
L. Gurganious 18 1-1 0-0 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 4 10 -
E. Knight 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
D. Pendergraft 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 3 0 1 -
M. Diallo 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
N. Doudney 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Neal 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Floyd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter