Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wyrick | 35 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Goldsberry | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Carter | 31 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Laue | 30 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Grkovic | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Soyebo | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Hendley | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Fountain | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| V. Kuljanin | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Lay | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Skinn | 36 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Lewis | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Butler | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| W. Thomas | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| F. Campbell | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| G. Norwood | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Hernandez | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Carter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Burns | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Fleming | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter