Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dotzler | 42 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Mathies | 37 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -1 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| N. Porter | 33 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Watts | 29 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Day | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Hibma | 12 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Bishop | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Motz | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Nengsu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stewart | 38 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Brooks | 36 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Cox | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Calvin | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Tracy | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Bryant | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Grant | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Works | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Houston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter