Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.