Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. LeMelle | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 35 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Barrett | 32 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| J. Dollard | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 25 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Hayles | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Barber | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Edun | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Edmondson | 36 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Delk | 35 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 25 | - |
| J. Gordon | 32 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Slater | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Delk | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter