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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 40 4-13 3-10 3-4 4 6 4 0 4 14 11 -
T. Mitchell * 37 6-9 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 14 5 -
G. Temple * 37 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 1 0 8 8 -
G. Davis * 36 8-18 0-1 2-2 11 2 0 0 4 18 9 -
T. Thomas * 29 2-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 4 1 4 9 -
D. Lazare 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 4 4 -
B. Voogd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Rolle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 6-13 1-2 8-8 2 5 2 0 4 21 13 -
R. Hendrix * 32 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 1 8 9 -
J. Felix * 29 5-8 4-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 10 -
E. Brock * 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Hollinger * 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Davidson 40 6-17 0-0 1-3 6 0 2 3 3 13 4 -
A. Gee 29 3-8 1-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 7 8 -

* = starter