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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boykin Jr. 36 4-11 1-2 5-7 12 1 1 1 3 14 15 -
T. Bazy 30 3-12 0-1 2-3 9 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
J. Wilson 29 5-10 1-4 0-0 0 2 4 1 4 11 4 -
K. Golob 28 4-7 1-3 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 11 6 -
S. Sir 18 1-12 0-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -9 -
R. McCurdy 18 4-7 0-0 2-5 4 2 0 1 2 10 8 -
K. Landry 16 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Seckold 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Hensley 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Van Patten 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Penoncello 34 3-5 1-3 5-6 6 3 0 1 1 12 16 -
R. Stuckey 34 8-20 1-4 11-14 8 3 2 2 1 28 22 -
D. Risper 30 5-7 0-0 0-1 10 2 2 0 0 10 17 -
D. Smith 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 3 4 -
R. Humphrey 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
P. Butorac 19 4-8 0-1 2-3 2 2 0 4 2 10 8 -
K. Williams 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 2 -
J. Beitinger 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 2 -2 -
N. Zumwalt 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
H. Bekkering 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter