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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 64.9% 35.1% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (27.4 off)
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +25 (95-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 33 6-13 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 0 2 16 10 -
K. Criswell 30 1-8 0-4 5-6 4 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
J. Hasquet 23 4-10 0-4 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
M. Martin 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
V. Matthews 22 3-4 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
B. Ellis 17 0-5 0-1 9-10 5 2 2 0 1 9 12 -
S. Mayes 13 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
K. Sharp 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Swift 8 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Dlouhy 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Chavez 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
G. Spurgetis 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Winters 29 2-4 0-0 6-6 5 1 0 1 1 10 12 -
D. Schroeder 25 2-6 2-4 5-6 0 1 0 0 3 11 3 -
A. Millien 25 8-12 0-0 9-9 9 1 0 5 2 25 26 -
T. Henry 21 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
R. Baumgartner 20 7-7 4-4 4-5 5 6 2 1 1 22 28 -
M. Stucki 18 2-4 1-3 1-2 5 2 0 1 1 6 9 -
A. Abdul-Ahad 18 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Stevens 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 4 5 -
L. Kinghorn 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Jones 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Hardy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
N. Rhodes 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Hopkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter