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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 0.7% 99.3% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hood 40 5-12 2-4 6-10 5 4 2 0 1 18 16 -
M. McCraw 38 6-15 3-9 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 17 4 -
D. Nwaelele 31 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 11 3 -
J. Burtschi 29 3-8 1-5 0-0 4 2 4 0 1 7 8 -
T. Anderson 27 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 1 2 9 -
J. Frye 24 1-3 0-1 0-2 7 1 0 1 2 2 6 -
A. Henke 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Teets 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Reichner 36 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 3 -
T. Plaisted 36 7-12 0-0 7-10 9 2 0 3 3 21 20 -
R. Broadus 32 5-10 2-5 1-3 3 2 2 0 2 13 8 -
J. Balderson 30 6-11 2-5 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 17 8 -
K. Young 27 2-6 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 0 2 6 8 -
L. Cummard 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 0 5 -
A. Ainge 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
F. Malaman 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
M. Rose 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter