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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 71.9% 28.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% -
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Hamilton * 30 5-13 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 11 0 -
C. Hammonds * 29 3-8 0-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 6 3 -
A. Akingbala * 24 5-9 0-0 2-3 10 1 1 1 6 12 10 -
S. Perry * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
J. Powell * 19 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 8 7 -
S. Robinson 24 4-14 2-5 1-1 1 1 2 0 3 11 -2 -
K.C. Rivers 24 1-3 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
S. Allen 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 4 4 -
R. Sykes 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Mathis 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Yanutola 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Morris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel * 37 6-11 0-1 0-0 7 9 1 1 3 12 16 -
T. Hansbrough * 31 3-7 0-0 8-9 7 1 1 1 4 14 13 -
R. Terry * 30 6-8 1-2 6-8 11 1 1 0 2 19 22 -
B. Frasor * 29 4-8 1-2 7-8 3 0 3 1 4 16 11 -
W. Miller * 29 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 5 3 -
Q. Thomas 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Sanders 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Ginyard 10 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
D. Green 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 2 1 -
D. Burke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Wilkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Copeland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter