Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.