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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Log Adjusted 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn * 45 11-21 6-9 3-4 4 1 0 0 4 31 11 -
C. Falls * 44 4-10 4-9 2-2 4 1 1 1 0 14 11 -
R. Carter * 38 8-11 4-6 4-4 6 1 3 1 0 24 24 -
T. Francis * 26 1-7 0-0 1-2 10 4 0 0 1 3 9 -
R. Kurz * 13 0-1 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 3 5 -
K. McAlarney 33 2-7 2-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
R. Cornett 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
L. Zeller 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Laudermill * 41 3-8 1-3 7-8 9 3 1 0 0 14 19 -
A. McGee * 37 4-10 4-7 2-4 4 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
T. Dean * 37 7-23 6-12 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 20 3 -
D. Padgett * 32 7-9 0-0 10-12 8 2 0 1 1 24 25 -
J. Palacios * 30 3-10 1-5 3-5 5 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
B. Harvey 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
C. Millard 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Farley 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 4 1 2 9 -
B. Gianiny 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Current 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter