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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.3% 87.7% -

Actual: Florida Gators +15 (95-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford * 34 5-16 2-8 7-8 10 0 0 0 3 19 10 -
R. Morris * 34 6-8 0-0 2-2 4 6 1 1 4 14 14 -
R. Rondo * 33 8-13 3-4 3-5 4 1 5 0 5 22 14 -
P. Sparks * 27 2-11 1-6 0-0 1 8 1 0 1 5 3 -
B. Perry * 13 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
S. Thomas 27 2-4 1-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
R. Bradley 13 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
R. Moss 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Stockton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Carter 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Sims 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 37 8-14 3-7 10-12 4 9 3 1 4 29 28 -
C. Brewer * 34 3-9 1-4 9-10 4 4 2 0 3 16 14 -
J. Noah * 29 11-13 0-0 4-6 8 2 1 3 3 26 24 -
A. Horford * 26 3-3 0-0 5-7 11 1 0 3 3 11 20 -
W. Hodge * 23 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
C. Richard 18 4-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
D. Huertas 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Humphrey 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Moss 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Swanson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Tyler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Berry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter