Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 40 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 20 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 29 | - |
| J. Sharper | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Abukar | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Hudson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Camara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C. Lewis | 34 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| M. Harrison | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Creason | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Gilling | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Freddy Robinson | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Micheal Morris | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Morris | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Patterson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Harris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter