Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ardison | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Tipler | 38 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| I. Wells | 36 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 34 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Y. Banks | 34 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Wray | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Little | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McGriff | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Christie | 31 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Jointer | 31 | 8-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| C. Smith | 24 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Bennett | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Phillips | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Cowherd | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Buboltz | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Collins | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Grigsby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter