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2006-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.8% 36.2% -
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 40 4-6 2-3 10-11 2 1 3 0 4 20 16 -
J. Goffredo 35 3-12 2-8 4-4 2 0 0 0 6 12 -4 -
B. Cusworth 31 4-10 0-0 1-5 11 2 3 3 1 9 17 -
M. Stehle 28 6-11 1-2 5-5 6 3 2 0 0 18 18 -
M. Beal 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
Z. Martin 17 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 6 4 -
B. Darcy 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Yada 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
B. Unger 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Harris 1 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Loscalzo 35 0-7 0-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 2 1 -
B. Nwachukwu 34 6-10 0-0 4-6 10 0 0 0 1 16 15 -
J. Baumann 33 5-12 0-0 5-6 9 0 1 1 3 15 11 -
K.J. Matsui 26 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 6 -1 -
J. Armstrong 22 5-9 1-3 2-2 6 1 2 0 3 13 10 -
M. Montgomery 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 5 -1 -
A. Peeples 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 0 -
D. Cuff 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
K. Sweet 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 0 2 -
J. Grzan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter