Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Neal | 39 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 10-11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 19 | - |
| L. Cotton | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Abraham | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Crossin | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Coleman | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Pratt | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Tubbs | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Jackson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pellot-Rosa | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Harper | 33 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| B.A. Walker | 31 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| M. Anderson | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Faulk | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| N. George | 20 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| E. Davis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Shuler | 11 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Maynor | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter