Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.