Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.