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2006-02-02

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (18.1 off)
Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins -15 (62-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel * 37 6-11 2-3 5-6 12 4 1 1 5 19 21 -
B. Frasor * 32 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 5 3 -
T. Hansbrough * 30 7-11 0-0 1-1 8 3 2 1 8 15 10 -
W. Miller * 26 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
R. Terry * 26 7-14 2-6 4-6 9 2 0 1 4 20 14 -
D. Green 16 3-8 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 3 0 10 11 -
M. Ginyard 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Sanders 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
Q. Thomas 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Caner-Medley * 37 6-19 1-6 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 15 2 -
M. Jones * 35 3-8 1-4 2-3 5 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
D.J. Strawberry * 34 6-15 1-3 1-3 5 2 3 1 3 14 7 -
E. Ibekwe * 16 2-9 0-1 1-4 3 1 3 0 1 5 2 -
W. Bowers * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
J. Gist 28 4-11 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 2 1 11 13 -
S. Ledbetter 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 0 4 -
C. Garrison 14 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 2 1 4 5 -
D. Neal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter