Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos +4 (57-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 36 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Howell | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| F. Valencia | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Ingram | 32 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Amos | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Currie | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Villegas | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Young | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Snider | 35 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Reitz | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Hershberger | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Bufford | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Gary | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hess | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Fracalossi | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Ricks | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Drews | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter