Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| C. Lewis | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Gilling | 27 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Harrison | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Creason | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Freddy Robinson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Micheal Morris | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Brown | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Patterson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Morris | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 37 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. McCraw | 35 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| T. Anderson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Maren | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Frye | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Teets | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Hood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Henke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter