Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rondo | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| P. Sparks | 38 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| J. Crawford | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Moss | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Perry | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Thomas | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Morris | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Bradley | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Sims | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Edmondson | 38 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| J. Gordon | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| R. Delk | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Slater | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Delk | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter