Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 37 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Cain * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Diane | 25 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Campbell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bethel * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Bennerman * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Simmons * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Grant | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Brackman | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. McCauley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter