Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -9 (54-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Moss | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| G. Moore | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 32 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Arnold | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Gray | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Wise | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Booe | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Falker | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| B. Mullins | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Young | 33 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Tatum | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Shaw | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Boyle | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Foster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter