Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (26.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +29 (73-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Onyeuku | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -1 | - |
| K. Ford | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Vandello | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Holtz | 20 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Plank | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Ford | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Kruse | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Fortes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Vianney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ruffin | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| W. Franklin | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Wright | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| P. O'Bryant | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Bennett | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Sommerville | 19 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Z. Andrews | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Adams | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Crouch | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lavin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter