Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -15 (51-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 40 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. McBride * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Randle * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Frazier | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Carter | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Arnold | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| K. Taylor * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Butch * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Nixon * | 25 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Chappell * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4 | - |
| M. Flowers | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Krabbenhoft | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Gullikson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter