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2006-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jacobson * 39 3-15 0-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 8 -4 -
J. Little * 37 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
G. Stout * 35 7-9 2-4 1-3 10 0 1 0 1 17 18 -
E. Coleman * 35 6-10 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 1 3 13 11 -
B. McKowen * 32 2-8 2-6 4-4 1 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
J. Josten 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Viet 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Santos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies * 36 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 7 6 -
D. Watts * 30 2-4 1-2 1-2 9 1 0 1 1 6 12 -
J. Dotzler * 30 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 10 5 -
A. Tolliver * 29 4-9 1-1 2-4 8 2 0 0 4 11 8 -
N. Porter * 26 6-13 1-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 16 5 -
J. Day 14 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
P. Hibma 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Bishop 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
J. Motz 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Nengsu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter