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2006-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray * 33 7-10 0-0 9-10 12 3 0 2 3 23 27 -
L. Kendall * 24 3-5 0-1 3-3 2 0 3 0 0 9 9 -
R. Ramon * 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 9 9 -
C. Krauser * 24 4-11 0-3 2-3 4 4 3 0 4 10 6 -
J. DeGroat * 10 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -1 -
K. Benjamin 23 4-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
A. Graves 20 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 -1 -
L. Fields 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
S. Young 19 4-9 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
T. Biggs 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams * 37 2-6 0-2 7-8 3 11 0 0 7 11 12 -
R. Gay * 36 9-16 1-3 3-4 3 1 4 1 0 22 15 -
J. Boone * 27 7-10 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 3 1 16 15 -
M. Mulchrone * 26 1-4 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 3 2 5 9 -
C. Austrie * 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Anderson 21 3-8 1-5 5-5 0 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
D. Brown 20 4-6 0-1 3-4 6 0 2 1 3 11 11 -
J. Adrien 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
E. Nelson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Garrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Johnson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter