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2006-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Paradoski 39 4-9 3-6 0-2 4 5 1 2 1 11 13 -
T. Willoughby 36 4-15 3-12 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 11 5 -
Player #16980 32 6-20 3-10 7-12 3 0 1 0 2 22 4 -
E. Jones 27 2-2 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 3 7 9 -
W. Francis 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 2 9 -
A. Thornton 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 2 -4 -
T. White 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 0 4 -
K. Guerrier 13 2-4 0-0 3-3 5 3 0 0 1 7 10 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Schlader 34 9-13 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 2 2 19 16 -
M. Hampton 30 6-12 2-5 6-6 1 0 2 0 2 20 9 -
L. Shipley 24 1-9 0-4 4-4 3 2 2 0 1 6 3 -
F. Lockett 24 1-4 0-1 4-4 6 4 1 0 1 6 12 -
K. Duncan 23 3-6 1-2 2-4 4 3 1 2 2 9 11 -
D. Wright 20 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 3 2 0 0 6 8 -
T. Babington 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
D. Reed 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
T. Janusauskas 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J.P. Felder 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter