Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 38 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Robert Merritt | 37 | 3-14 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| R. Gulina | 30 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| T. Peterson | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Merritt | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. West | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Black | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. LoPiano | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Griffith | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Orr | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Ward | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Pearson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Holloway | 18 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Redding | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Wright | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Kennedy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter