Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.