Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Modica * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Payne * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Townes * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Hill * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 29 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| V. Hunter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rondo * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Perry * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Crawford * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Morris | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| R. Moss | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Bradley | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter