Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (60-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 40 | 9-24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | - |
| J. Binnie | 36 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| W. Williams | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Plummer | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Little | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Penno | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Cripe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Cage | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Doellman | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Thornton | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| D. Finn | 28 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Duncan | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Wolf | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Caudle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter