🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs 78
@
Wyoming Cowboys 77
2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 89.5% 10.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% - ✓
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% - ✓

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sharper 43 1-7 0-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
N. LeSure 41 5-15 2-8 2-3 4 2 2 0 5 14 2 -
M. Slaughter 37 6-15 0-0 12-16 13 2 1 0 2 24 23 -
R. Williams 35 2-12 0-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 4 6 0 -
M. Abukar 25 6-13 1-2 6-7 4 0 1 0 3 19 8 -
B. Hudson 15 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
M. Camara 15 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Thomas 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. McGrath 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 41 2-8 2-5 2-8 4 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
B. Jones 40 5-10 0-1 3-6 9 5 3 2 7 13 15 -
S. Leven 37 10-22 5-9 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 25 4 -
D. Wabbington 31 4-6 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 3 4 9 13 -
C. Anderson 21 1-1 0-0 6-8 4 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
J. Williams 20 2-4 0-0 2-3 10 1 2 0 2 6 13 -
D. Brown 18 1-3 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
K. Lewis 13 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Ebert 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter