Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.