Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Schlader | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| M. Hampton | 33 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Wright | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Lockett | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Babington | 18 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Shipley | 17 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Reed | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Duncan | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Janusauskas | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J.P. Felder | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Matthews | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 34 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J. Smith | 32 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| R. Gulina | 28 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. West | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Peterson | 25 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Black | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Merritt | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. LoPiano | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Rawlings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter