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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 93.8% 6.2% -
Bradley-Terry 73.1% 26.9% -
Margin 84.6% 15.4% -9.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Providence Friars -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mulchrone * 33 4-8 0-0 8-10 12 1 0 3 3 16 21 -
M. Williams * 30 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 5 0 0 3 4 6 -
J. Boone * 28 3-9 0-0 3-6 13 1 1 1 2 9 14 -
R. Gay * 25 4-8 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 10 5 -
C. Austrie * 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
R. Anderson 29 5-13 2-7 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 15 7 -
D. Brown 25 4-10 2-5 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
E. Nelson 12 1-7 0-0 4-5 3 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
R. Garrison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Johnson 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath * 40 7-18 4-10 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 18 4 -
S. Curry * 38 7-16 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 15 8 -
R. Hanke * 30 6-11 0-0 4-6 6 0 2 5 2 16 16 -
G. McDermott * 23 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 2 1 4 7 -
W. Efejuku * 21 1-4 0-1 1-5 2 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
H. Hill 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 4 3 -
C. Burch 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 6 -
J. Kale 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter