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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -2 (48-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Knight 38 7-13 0-0 4-9 16 1 0 0 3 18 19 -
W. Wardrop 33 4-15 1-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 11 -4 -
J. Ziri 32 0-7 0-3 1-2 5 2 4 0 1 1 4 -
B. Worthy 32 6-11 0-1 8-9 1 2 1 0 0 20 13 -
C. Ayer 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Montgomery 18 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 2 2 0 3 7 4 -
J. Haywood 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Brooks 10 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 3 6 -
M. Deric 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Forehan-Kelly 40 10-17 2-4 13-16 4 1 3 0 2 35 24 -
M. Gerrity 38 6-11 0-2 4-6 5 2 1 0 7 16 6 -
C. Roush 28 1-1 0-0 3-6 4 1 1 1 0 5 11 -
R. Hicks 26 1-6 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 1 4 4 5 -
D. Grubb 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 3 9 -
W. Galick 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Oakes 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
J. Henry 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
K. Costain 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Barlow 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Griffin 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter