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USC Trojans 84
@
Oregon Ducks 78
2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - ✗
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 ✗ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% - ✗

Actual: Oregon Ducks -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Francis * 40 4-10 0-4 3-5 2 4 1 0 6 11 2 -
G. Pruitt * 37 8-12 6-8 8-12 5 4 2 0 0 30 29 -
N. Young * 36 6-13 1-2 3-5 9 3 0 0 1 16 14 -
A. Ndiaye * 31 4-5 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 1 1 10 13 -
S. Odzic * 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
A. Betz-White 24 3-7 2-3 6-6 1 2 3 0 0 14 13 -
K. Wilkinson 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 31 3-6 2-4 1-2 6 9 1 0 0 9 19 -
J. Kent * 30 4-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 2 2 8 7 -
B. Lincoln * 23 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -2 -
M. Hairston * 22 2-9 1-6 3-3 2 3 0 0 2 8 2 -
A. Zahn * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Taylor 27 7-11 3-5 1-4 2 2 1 0 0 18 12 -
C. Oguchi 22 8-11 6-9 3-4 2 1 0 1 0 25 18 -
M. Leunen 19 0-2 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
R. Schafer 8 0-0 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
I. Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Stelly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter