Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.