Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freeman | 36 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Bausley | 34 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| J. Harris | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Woods | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| H. Hargrave | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Leath | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Lange | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Roberts | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boykin Jr. | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Golob | 36 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Wilson | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| S. Sir | 25 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Bazy | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| M. Seckold | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Landry | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Hensley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter