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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (9.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Freeman 36 5-14 3-6 4-4 1 4 3 0 3 17 8 -
A. Bausley 34 11-15 2-4 4-5 4 0 2 0 2 28 17 -
J. Harris 24 1-4 0-1 3-4 0 1 1 1 0 5 4 -
C. Woods 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
H. Hargrave 20 1-4 1-2 7-8 1 0 1 0 3 10 5 -
L. Leath 20 1-6 0-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 6 7 -
J. Williams 18 3-4 0-0 1-3 1 0 2 0 1 7 5 -
C. Lange 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
J. Gilzene 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Beekman 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
R. Adams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Roberts 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Perry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boykin Jr. 36 3-8 0-0 9-10 11 4 1 0 5 15 18 -
K. Golob 36 4-8 0-2 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 9 8 -
J. Wilson 27 3-5 1-3 3-4 3 5 0 0 5 10 8 -
R. McCurdy 26 4-6 0-0 7-8 10 0 0 3 3 15 19 -
S. Sir 25 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 11 3 -
T. Bazy 17 5-6 1-1 8-10 2 1 1 0 3 19 14 -
M. Seckold 13 0-1 0-1 1-3 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
K. Landry 12 2-3 0-0 5-6 4 0 1 1 2 9 10 -
R. Van Patten 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Hensley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter