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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walters 38 5-13 1-5 0-1 7 4 3 0 6 11 6 -
T. Danridge 34 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
D. Chiotti 33 4-9 0-0 5-7 3 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
K. Prochaska 30 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
R. Kersten 22 4-12 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 1 -
D. Faris 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Harden 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Collins 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Hart 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Prentice 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
K. Walter 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Toppert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Terry 36 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 7 1 0 2 7 7 -
W. Adams 34 4-9 3-6 2-3 6 3 2 0 3 13 12 -
L. Amundson 31 4-9 0-0 4-4 8 1 3 2 4 12 13 -
J. Petrimoulx 27 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 7 1 0 3 7 11 -
D. Villepigue 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
W. White 20 8-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 16 13 -
R. Morgan 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Darger 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
G. Essengue 7 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter