Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -13 (52-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Falker | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - |
| B. Mullins | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Young | 33 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J. Tatum | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Shaw | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Foster | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brooks | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Boyle | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Smithpeters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Holtz | 25 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Ford | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Vandello | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Plank | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Wallace | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kruse | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Vianney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Fortes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter