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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -13 (52-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Falker 34 7-8 0-0 4-4 15 3 0 2 0 18 30 -
B. Mullins 34 0-3 0-1 4-5 3 2 1 0 2 4 5 -
T. Young 33 6-13 5-10 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 17 5 -
J. Tatum 31 5-13 1-4 2-2 1 5 2 0 2 13 6 -
M. Shaw 28 3-6 1-2 2-3 6 1 1 1 2 9 10 -
W. Clemmons 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Foster 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Brooks 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Boyle 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Smithpeters 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dilligard 28 3-9 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 1 8 6 -
B. Holtz 25 4-12 3-9 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
D. Ford 25 3-6 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
M. Vandello 23 2-8 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
N. Plank 21 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 0 -
N. Onyeuku 21 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
T. Wallace 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 -
L. Dyer 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
D. Odiakosa 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
M. Kruse 9 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
E. Vianney 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Fortes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Carlwell 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter