Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.