Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stewart | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Cox | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Calvin | 25 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Brooks | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Grant | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Bryant | 19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Tracy | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Works | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter