🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Iowa Panthers 51
@
Drake Bulldogs 49
2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 ✗ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% - ✓

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -2 (49-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen 40 1-8 0-5 3-5 3 2 1 0 4 5 -1 -
B. Jacobson 40 5-12 2-5 2-4 3 5 2 0 4 14 8 -
G. Stout 37 5-8 1-2 2-4 11 1 0 4 1 13 20 -
J. Little 32 2-6 1-5 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
E. Coleman 30 4-8 0-0 2-5 9 0 0 1 2 10 10 -
J. Josten 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Brown 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stewart 32 6-13 0-1 2-4 5 5 2 0 2 14 11 -
J. Cox 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
A. Calvin 25 1-9 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Brooks 25 3-9 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 8 3 -
N. Grant 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 4 2 -
B. Heemskerk 21 2-4 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
C. Bryant 19 3-7 3-5 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
S. Tracy 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Baryenbruch 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Works 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Emmenecker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter