Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (54-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.